Wednesday, March 13, 2019

NASA Considers Commercial Launch Options for Orion’s 1st Lunar Test Flight in 2020


NASA’s Orion Crew Module and European Service Module orbit around the Moon. Credit: NASA/ESA, ATG-medialab
Ken Kremer  --SpaceUpClose.com & RocketSTEM –13 March 2019

KENNEDY SPACE CENTER, FL –  In a startling and totally unexpected turn of events NASA Administrator Jim Bridenstine said during congressional testimony today, March 13, that the agency is considering commercial launch vehicle options for launching Orion’s 1st lunar test flight in mid-2020 as a last minute alternative to using the mammoth but much delayed Space Launch System (SLS) megarocket currently under development by the agency.

Orion had been scheduled to launch in June 2020 on its 1st integrated test flight atop the maiden heavy lift SLS rocket on the uncrewed Exploration Mission-1 (EM-1) on a three week journey around the Moon and back.

Now, in a shocking twist Bridenstine said NASA is actively investigating purchasing two heavy lift ‘commercial launch vehicles’ to match the lifting capability required for an ‘Orion to the Moon’ mission as a replacement for what would be the first SLS rocket launch – and still accomplish the launch sometime before the end of 2020, in a race against time to keep the agency on track for a human return to the Moon for the first time since the last Apollo Moon landing in 1972. 

Replacing SLS so late in the game with two rockets and with so little time is a gargantuan task- as Bridenstine freely admitted. 

Plus a plan on how to split up the Orion Crew components and the fully fueled upper stage and develop the hardware and software to dock them in Earth orbit also does not currently exist, Bridenstine admitted.

"Here's the challenge that we have with EM-1. SLS is struggling to meet its schedule. It was originally intended to launch in December of 2019 ... no later than June of 2020,” Bridenstine testified to Sen. Roger Wicker (R-Miss.) who chaired this morning’s open hearing of the Senate Commerce Committee with the NASA Administrator in Washington D.C. 

“We are now understanding better how difficult this project is, and that it's going to take some additional time."

A decision will come “in the next couple of weeks. Every moment counts.”
Orion EM-1 Crew Module under construction at NASA’s Kennedy Space Center (KSC) in Florida by prime contractor Lockheed Martin.  Credit: Ken Kremer/kenkremer.com/spaceupclose.com
SLS will be the most powerful rocket ever built and thus far is the only vehicle with sufficient thrust and mass lifting capability to propel Orion and its European-built Service Module to the Moon in one launch augmented by an upper stage.

That was NASA’s baseline plan for SLS-1/Orion EM-1 as outlined by Jim Bridenstine until just 48 hours ago on Monday March 11, during his NASA 2020 Budget rollout speech at the Kennedy Space Center in Florida – as I witnessed and reported for Space UpClose here.

https://kenkremer.blogspot.com/2019/03/trumps-2020-nasa-budget-slashes-sls-and.html
Aspirational concept of Gateway crewed lunar outpost shown by NASA Administrator Jim Bridenstine as he announces NASA’s 2020 budget request from the Trump Administration to NASA employees, contractors and the media at the Kennedy Space Center in Florida on March 11, 2019.  Credit: Ken Kremer/kenkremer.com/spaceupclose.com
But just last week NASA informed Congress that the EM-1 test flight would be delayed again due to ongoing problems developing and manufacturing the gigantic core stage at the heart of SLS -  which was of particular concern to Sen. Wicker.

Bridenstine made the stunning remarks about a potential rapid change in launch vehicle course for Orion at today’s congressional testimony in response to questioning from Senator Wicker.

"I want to be really clear. I think we, as an agency, need to stick to our commitments. Sir, if we tell you and others that we're going to launch in June of 2020 around the moon, which is what EM-1 is, I think we should launch around the moon June of 2020, and I think it can be done. We need to consider, as an agency, all options to accomplish that objective.”
NASA Administrator Jim Bridenstine announces NASA’s 2020 budget request from the Trump Administration to NASA employees and the media at the Kennedy Space Center in Florida on March 11, 2019.  Credit: Ken Kremer/kenkremer.com/spaceupclose.com
Bridenstine then outlined the alternative to SLS option further - which is likely to involve private rockets from both SpaceX and United Launch Alliance (ULA). 

The commercial rockets likely would be the SpaceX Falcon Heavy to launch the combined Orion Crew and Service Modules. The ULA Delta IV Heavy and Atlas V are candidates to launch the ICPS upper stage required to propel Orion to the Moon. 


Thereafter they have to dock by an as yet unknown method. A new docking adapter would be required.
ESA’s first European Service Module for NASA Orion crew capsule is unveiled at welcoming ceremony at Neil Armstrong Operations and Checkout building at NASA’s Kennedy Space Center on Nov. 16, 2018, including remarks by ESA Director General Jan Wörner.  Credit: Ken Kremer/kenkremer.com/spaceupclose.com
The ULA Delta IV Heavy commercial rocket was already used to launch the very first Orion Crew Capsule on the Exploration Flight Test-1 (EFT-1) mission back in Dec. 2014. But the Delta IV Heavy rocket is not powerful enough to launch the heavy weight of the Orion Crew capsule combined with a fully outfitted European Service Module (ESM).

Up Close look at ESA’s first European Service Module mated on top to Crew Module Adapter with 192 bolts - for eventual connection to NASA Orion crew capsule was unveiled at Neil Armstrong Operations and Checkout building at NASA’s Kennedy Space Center on Nov. 16, 2018  Credit: Ken Kremer/kenkremer.com/spaceupclose.com
“We need to consider, as an agency, all options to accomplish that objective. Some of those options would include launching the Orion crew capsule and the European service module on a commercial rocket,” Bridenstine elaborated.

“It's been done before [referring to EFT-1] -- actually not with the European service module -- but certainly there are opportunities to utilize commercial capabilities to put the Orion crew capsule and the European service module in orbit around the moon by June of 2020, which was our originally-stated objective, and I've tasked the agency to look into how we might accomplish that objective, so yes, sir, this is a challenge, but I think we can rise up to meeting it.”

The first European Service Module (ESM) built to power NASA’s Orion crew spacecraft for human voyages to deep space was unveiled at a welcoming ceremony held at NASA’s Kennedy Space Center (KSC) in Florida in November 2018 – see our photos - where it is now being processed for what was planned as the 1st integrated test flight with the maiden SLS rocket on EM-1 in 2020. 
Graphic outlining European Service Module for NASA’s Exploration Mission-1 with Orion human-rated spacecraft and Space Launch System rocket launch to the Moon in 2020. Credit: ESA/Airbus  
Bridenstine’s goal is to keep Orion’s momentum on track for launch in 2020 while continuing to work out the serious issues now delaying SLS - and then use the first SLS for the first crewed flight to the Moon with astronauts on the EM-2 mission scheduled for 2022 or 2023 to get back to NASA’s currently outlined schedule. 

“The key is we want to test fully the Orion crew capsule and the European service module around the moon, and then ultimately maintain the SLS program, so that by the time we do EM-2, it will have done a full-up green run test.”

“By the way, that would be done at the Stennis space center in Mississippi, Mr. Chairman. and then after the green run test, we will have tested the SLS, we will have tested the Orion crew capsule and the European service module around the moon, and then we can get back on track for EM-2. The goal is to get back on track."

Wicker noted that this was Bridenstine’s first public mention of the alternative to launch Orion to the Moon using two commercial rockets in place of SLS for EM-1.

Wicker then asked – “We're looking at the possibility of using a commercial rocket.' Whose rocket would that be, and how far along are you in making a decision to go this route in an effort to stick to the mid-2020 schedule?"

"All important questions, sir. The challenge is we don't have a rocket right now that can launch Orion and the European service module around the moon. That rocket doesn't exist,” Bridenstine replied. 

“That's what the SLS is all about. Now, here's what we can do, potentially -- again, we're starting the process now -- we could use two heavy-lift rockets to put the Orion crew capsule and the European service module in orbit around the Earth, launch a second heavy-lift rocket to put an upper stage in orbit around the Earth, and then dock those two together to throw around the moon the Orion crew capsule with the European service module.”

And therein lies another hugely significant problem - the ability, hardware and software  to dock the two pieces together – Orion and the upper stage – does not exist at this time!

“I want to be clear. We do not have, right now, an ability to dock the Orion crew capsule with anything in orbit. So between now and June of 2020, we would have to make that a reality."

Thus time is of the essence and every moment counts.

The money to do all this also doesn’t exist. Congress and the President will have to step in for any chance to turn this Orion commercial launch option into reality.

“We can use off-the-shelf capability to accomplish this objective for EM-1, but not change the direction of the SLS and EM-2," Bridenstine explained.

"How close are we to being able to make a decision about whether to do this or not?" Wicker asked. 

"What are the expense considerations in making this decision?"

"I think it can be done, sir, in the next couple of weeks. Every moment counts. Because, I want to be clear, NASA has a history of not meeting launch dates, and I'm trying to change that."

“I think there are options to achieve the objective, but it might require some help from the Congress."

"Well, I'd sure like to keep us on schedule," said Wicker.

It should be noted that manufacture of the integrated Orion Crew Module and Service Module stack is nearly ready by prime contractor Lockheed Martin.


Around July they will be flown inside NASA's Super Guppy aircraft to NASA’s Plum Brook facility at NASA Glenn in Ohio for critical vacuum, thermal, electromagnetic and acoustics testing over several months. 

It will be ready for launch processing after returning to KSC.


One thing not clear from Bridenstine’s testimony is whether NASA would launch crew on Orion EM-2 if that would then become the first SLS launch.   NASA has avoided putting astronauts on maiden launches of new rockets since after the first shuttle flight.

In remarks to reporters afterwards, Bridenstine indicated that NASA would still consider astronuats flying on EM-2 – according to a report in Space News.

'Super Guppy' - NASA's one of a kind, gorgeous hybrid aircraft. Around July2019 the  combined NASA Orion Crew Module EM-1 and European Service Module-1 will be loaded horizontally into belly of the behemoth and transported from the Kennedy Space Center to Plum Brook facility for critical thermal vacuum, acoustic, electromagnetic testing prior to lunar test flight. Rocket launcher in 2020 now TBD. Credit: Ken Kremer/kenkremer.com/spaceupclose.com
Well we live in exciting times and hopefully NASA can pull this off – but it will only happen if money is provided.

And the Trump Administration is not helping matters by calling for a 17% cut in SLS funding and 9% cut to Orion and deferring work on the SLS Block 1B upgrade with a more powerful upper stage.

Furthermore President Trumps’ Fiscal Year 2020 NASA Budget request has slashed the agency’s budget by $480 million or 2.2 % compared to the actual Fiscal Year 2019 budget appropriated and enacted by Congress in February 2019 – which amounted to $21.5 Billion. 

Thus it will be up to President Trump and the US Congress to act in a bipartisan manner to save NASA exploration and science – that is if they choose to do so.  

Watch for Ken’s continuing onsite coverage of NASA, SpaceX, ULA, Boeing, Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman and more space and mission reports direct from the Kennedy Space Center, Cape Canaveral Air Force Station, Florida and Wallops Flight Facility, Virginia.

Stay tuned here for Ken's continuing Earth and Planetary science and human spaceflight news: www.kenkremer.com –www.spaceupclose.com – twitter @ken_kremer – email: ken at kenkremer.com

Dr. Kremer is a research scientist and journalist based in the KSC area, active in outreach and interviewed regularly on TV and radio about space topics.
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