Monday, December 31, 2018

NASA’s New Horizons On Target For New Years Day Flyby of Most Distant Object Ever - ‘Ultima Thule’


This image shows the first detection of 2014 MU69 (nicknamed "Ultima Thule"), using the highest resolution mode (known as "1x1") of the Long Range Reconnaissance Imager (LORRI) aboard the New Horizons spacecraft. Three separate images, each with an exposure time of 0.5 seconds, were combined to produce the image shown here. All three images were taken on Dec. 24, 2018, at 01:56 UT spacecraft time and were downlinked to Earth about 12 hours later. Ultima was 4 billion miles (6.5 billion kilometers) from the Sun and 6.3 million miles (10 million kilometers) from the New Horizons spacecraft. Credit: NASA/Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory/Southwest Research Institute

Ken Kremer  --SpaceUpClose.com & RocketSTEM –30 December 2018

JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERISTY APPLIED PHYSICS LABORATORY, LAUREL, MD – With 1 day to go, NASA’s New Horizons spacecraft is on target to conduct the most distant ever flyby of an object by a spacecraft from humanity at a miniscule rock named ‘Ultima Thule’ on New Year’s Day 2019 - located over 4 Billion miles (6.5 billion km) from the Earth in the Kuiper Belt it is key to unlocking the mysteries of the origin and evolution of our Solar System eons ago at a place we known virtually about today.  That all changes on New Years Day.  

The flyby of ‘Ultima Thule’ by New Horizons will take place on New Year’s Day 2019 at 12:33 a.m. EST in the Kuiper Belt – the third and outermost and least explored region of our solar system.

And the final commands to accomplish the flyby have been sent to New Horizons by the science and engineering team back on Earth early Sunday, Dec. 30 and confirmed late in the evening when radio signals were received back on Earth by the eagerly waiting team.

“Decision to perform the knowledge update was made just after 3 am [EST] Dec 30, Alice Bowman, New Horizons Mission Operations Manager (MOM), Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, told Space UpClose. 
“Knowledge Update commands went up about 8:40 a.m. EST Dec 30 and have just been confirmed 9:10 p.m. EST Dec 30. And these are the last commands to accomplish the flyby.
Alice Bowman, New Horizons Mission Operations Manager (MOM) discusses Ultima Thule flyby at Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory on Dec. 30, 2018 prior to Ultima Thule New Years Day 2019 flyby. Credit: Ken Kremer/kenkremer.com/spaceupclose.com
The team only had to make a 2 second timing adjustment in the science and engineering observations and measurement approaching the aim point – which amounts to a change in known position of the spacecraft of just 30 kilometers, said Bowman at a media briefing for reporters today, Dec 30, at JHU APL. That’s just beyond amazing!


“The spacecraft is healthy. We are all very excited!”


“We've just confirmed that the Knowledge Update is onboard New Horizons, meaning Ultima Observations are adjusted to occur at the best possible times based on the latest trajectory info.@NasaNewHorizons @jhuapl,” Bowman added on twitter late tonight.
Completing the encounter successfully is now all up to the piano sized spacecraft itself which will operate autonomously and gather data using its suite of seven science instruments.
'Ultima Thule’ is a fossil remnant from the formation of the early solar system that has almost certainly remained unchanged over time and thus represents our best chance to study how we came to be some 4.5 Billion Years Ago.
New Horizons will swoop past ‘Ultima Thule’ at a velocity of 32,000 mph (9 miles per second) at a distance of merely 2,200 miles. 

Artists concept of New Horizons and Ultima Thule Kuiper Belt flyby target New Year’s Day 2019. Credit: NASA/JHUAPL/SWRI 
Although the encounter period lasts about 9 days, like during the Pluto planetary encounter, the closest approach period of science gathering itself is just +/- 1 hour from 12:33 a.m. Tuesday morning, Jan 1, 2019.

But even just 1 day out from the encounter no one – including the New Horizons team and the missions Principal Investigator PI Alan Stern - knows what the surface looks like or much else! Because of the immense distance from Earth. 
 “We don’t know a thing about MU69,” said Alan Stern, New Horizons principal investigator from the Southwest Research Institute, at the Dec. 30 media briefing for reporters at JHU APL. “We’ve never, in the history of spaceflight, gone to a target that we knew less about, and it’s remarkable that we’re on the verge of knowing a great deal about this.
“Today, I can’t tell you more than five facts about it. We know its orbit, we know its color, we know a little bit about its shape, and its reflectivity. We can’t even get the rotational period. I thought we’d have that 10 weeks ago.”
Alan Stern, New Horizons Principal Investigator (PI) discusses Ultima Thule flyby at Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory on Dec. 30, 2018 prior to Ultima Thule New Years Day 2019 flyby. Credit: Ken Kremer/kenkremer.com/spaceupclose.com
The shape and composition of ‘Ultima Thule’ is unknown. It could be peanut shaped or binary. Its size is estimated at no more than 20 miles (30 kilometers) long, or, if a binary, each about 9-12 miles (15-20 kilometers) in diameter. 
“Ultima Thule is a great wonderland. It the best preserved sample of pristine material ever visited. There is no geologic engine for change, unlike Pluto.”
The Ultima Thule flyby is historic in multiple respects.
Ultima Thule is likely the most primitive object ever visited by any spacecraft in history.
It also counts as the farther planetary flyby encounter ever conducted in history.
15 minutes after the flyby “New Horizons will phone home” and transmit health and safety data to confirm the outcome of the mission, Bowman explained at the briefing.
“We will learn how much data was gathered. But no pictures.”
The team expects to collect roughly 50 GB of data that will take about 2 years to downlink because of the slow data rate transmission, said Bowman.
Alice Bowman, New Horizons Mission Operations Manager (MOM) inside Mission Operations Center at Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory on Dec. 29, 2018 prior to Ultima Thule New Years Day 2019 flyby. Credit: Ken Kremer/kenkremer.com/spaceupclose.com 
Only a few GB will be sent before the spacecraft is occulted by the sun on Jan. 4, preventing further data playback for a few days until signals are reacquired.
A roughly 6 pixel image is expected on Jan. 1, says Stern.
The first hi resolution images are expected back on Earth on Jan. 2, says Stern.
“About a 100 pixel image is expected Jan. 2 and will be released at the 2 p.m. media briefing.”

New Horizons has been hurtling towards the unexplored outer limits of our Solar System since launching 13 years ago in Jan. 2006 and conducting the first up close flyby of Pluto – the ninth planet - in July 2015. 

Pluto, the largest known body in the Kuiper Belt, was the first target explored by New Horizons during a fast flyby over three years ago during July 2015.


Global mosaic of Pluto created from raw images gathered during July 2015 flyby by NASA’s New Horizons spacecraft. Credit: NASA/JHU/JPL/SWRI/Marco Di Lorenzo/Ken Kremer/kenkremer.com
‘Ultima Thule’ is the second Kuiper Belt object that will be explored up close by New Horizons.
The small icy rock in the Kuiper Belt located some 1 Billion miles (1.6 Billion km) beyond Pluto and orbits 4.1 Billion miles (6.6 Billion km) from the Sun and the Earth .
The New Horizons team tapped ‘Ultima Thule’ as the nickname for the spacecrafts next flyby target on New Year’s Day 2019 – “symbolizing this ultimate exploration by NASA” says Alan Stern, the missions team leader and chief scientist.
The primitive frozen world - officially known as 2014 MU69 – will become the farthest object ever explored up close by a manmade emissary in history when NASA’s New Horizons spaceship zooms past for a close encounter on Jan. 1, 2019 orbiting more than a billion miles beyond Pluto, the most distant planet in our Solar System.
The first ever up close examination of this distant object holds critical clues to the formation of the outer solar system eons ago.
Stern says New Horizons spacecraft is performing perfectly and all systems and subsystems are just as good as the day they were launch in Jan. 2006 on a ULA Atlas V rocket.
Alan Stern, New Horizons Principal Investigator (PI) discusses Ultima Thule flyby at Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory on Dec. 30, 2018 prior to Ultima Thule New Years Day 2019 flyby. Credit: Ken Kremer/kenkremer.com/spaceupclose.com

It has enough power to operate through the mid-2030’s at least and can conduct a third flyby.
The team says they will begin that search immediately using the LORRI camera and propose an extended mission to NASA in the summer of 2020. 

Watch for Ken’s continuing onsite coverage direct from JHU APL.

Watch for Ken’s continuing onsite coverage of NASA, SpaceX, ULA, Boeing, Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman and more space and mission reports direct from the Kennedy Space Center, Cape Canaveral Air Force Station, Florida and Wallops Flight Facility, Virginia.
Stay tuned here for Ken's continuing Earth and Planetary science and human spaceflight news: www.kenkremer.com –www.spaceupclose.com – twitter @ken_kremer – email: ken at kenkremer.com
Dr. Kremer is a research scientist, journalist and photographer based in the KSC area.
………….

Ken’s photos are for sale and he is available for lectures and outreach events


Friday, December 28, 2018

How to Watch NASA New Horizons ‘Ultima Thule’ Flyby Events + Latest Mission Update


Illustration of NASA’s New Horizons spacecraft encountering 2014 MU69 – nicknamed “Ultima Thule” – a Kuiper Belt object that orbits one billion miles beyond Pluto. Set for New Year’s 2019, New Horizons’ exploration of Ultima will be the farthest space probe flyby in history. Credit: NASA/JHUAPL/SWRI
Ken Kremer  --SpaceUpClose.com & RocketSTEM –28 December 2018

JHU APPLIED PHYSICS LABORATORY, MD / KENNEDY SPACE CENTER, FL –  Three Days and Counting !!!  All spacecraft systems are ‘GO’ for the New Year’s Eve Flyby of NASA New Horizons spacecraft past ‘Ultima Thule’ for a once in a lifetime encounter with the small icy rock in the Kuiper Belt located some 1 Billion miles beyond Pluto and 4 Billion miles from the Sun. It counts as the most distant planetary object ever visited by a spacecraft from Earth!

New Horizons has been hurtling towards the unexplored outer limits of our Solar System since launching 13 years ago in Jan. 2006 and conducting the first up close flyby of Pluto – the ninth planet - in July 2015. 

Now the missions second flyby at ‘Ultima Thule’ is almost upon us on New Years Eve.The name means “beyond the known world” and was chosen after an unofficial naming contest held earlier this year.

New Horizons will swoop past ‘Ultima Thule’ at 12:33 a.m. EST on New Year’s Day at a velocity of 32,000 mph (9 miles per second) at a distance of merely 2,200 miles. And no one knows what the surface looks like because of the immense distance from Earth. 


That will all change if all goes well!

No data will be transmitted during the encounter. Four hours after closest approach the spacecraft will turn and begins transmitting back the first high priority images and data.

“Across the whole team, people are ready, they’re in the game, we can’t wait to go exploring,” Alan Stern, the New Horizons principal investigator, said at a briefing today, Dec 28. “It’s been three-and-a-half years [since the Pluto flyby], we’ve worked so hard, people are ready to see that payoff and see what we can learn about the birth of our solar system.”

“This flyby of Ultima is a one shot deal on New Years Eve and New Years Day. There has been nothing like this mission since the Pioneers and Voyagers.  We have been preparing almost every day for the past 3 ½ years. It very busy because our team is only 10 % the size of the Voyager team.”

The first high resolution image could be unveiled at a press briefing on Jan. 2. Traveling at the speed of light across immense distances it takes more than six hours for signals to reach eagerly waiting scientists on Earth. 

However, because of the nonsensical political impasse in Washington, D.C. known as the ‘Government Shutdown’ - all systems may not be go with NASA TV coverage.  Only time will tell. 
Nevertheless, you can watch all the unfolding action and read all the updates on the alternate websites of NASA Live and NASA’s New Horizons mission partner - the Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory (JHU APL) YouTube channel.

https://www.nasa.gov/nasalive

Space UpClose will also be on hand and I will be reporting live from JHU APL. 

Thus you will not miss out! – just read below:

From NASA:

On #NewYearsEve, @NASANewHorizons will perform the most distant planetary flyby ever as it zooms past an object nicknamed #UltimaThule. Make sure to follow our partner @JHUAPL for updates: http://pluto.jhuapl.edu

From JHU APL- in case NASA TV is not available:

Where to Watch:

A schedule of televised events is below; all times EST and subject to change according to mission timelines and activities. Keep checking back for updates and additions!

NASA TV and the NASA New Horizons social media channels are now online. The New Horizons mission will also provide coverage of live activities on this website and the Johns Hopkins Applied Physics Laboratory YouTube channel.

https://www.youtube.com/user/jhuapl


Watch this Facebook Live Chat on YouTube on Dec. 28, 2018 for the latest update:

Video Caption: The New Horizons team provides the latest updates on the historic flyby of Ultima Thule, the farthest exploration of any world, ever: Dec 28 2018.  New Horizons Team Members Principle Investigator Alan Stern - Southwest Research Institute Mission Operations Manager Alice Bowman - Johns Hopkins Applied Physics Lab Science Team Co-Investigator Kelsi Singer - Southwest Research Institute Moderator Mike Buckley - Johns Hopkins Applied Physics Lab
Here is a short summary of how to watch the New Horizons flyby events over the next few days. A detailed summary is at the bottom:
New Horizons #UltimaThule Flyby Events (All Times Eastern). New Horizons live events will air on NASA Television. For mission status updates follow @NASANewHorizons.
Monday, Dec. 31, 2 p.m.: New Horizons media briefing and spacecraft final approach before flyby of Ultima Thule, a Kuiper belt object (KBO).
3 p.m.: Q&A with the New Horizons Team
8 p.m.: Panel Discussion: New Horizons Flyby of Ultima Thule
Tuesday, Jan. 1, 12:15 a.m.: New Horizons flyby of Ultima Thule, a Kuiper belt object.
9:45 a.m.:  New Horizons Signal Acquisition from Ultima Thule Flyby (All Channels)
11:30 a.m.: New Horizons Post-Flyby Press Conference
Wednesday, Jan. 2, 2 p.m.: New Horizons press briefing on science results from Ultima Thule.
Thursday, Jan. 3, 2 p.m.: New Horizons press briefing on science results from Ultima Thule.

NASA New Horizons spacecraft trajectory since launching from Earth on Jan. 19, 2006 on ULA Atlas V rocket.  Credit: NASA/JHUAPL/SWRI 
Pluto, the largest known body in the Kuiper Belt, was the first target explored by New Horizons during a fast flyby over three years ago during July 2015.


Global mosaic of Pluto created from raw images gathered during July 2015 flyby by NASA’s New Horizons spacecraft. Credit: NASA/JHU/JPL/SWRI/Marco Di Lorenzo/Ken Kremer/kenkremer.com
‘Ultima Thule’ is the second Kuiper Belt object that will be explored up close by New Horizons. 
The New Horizons team has tapped ‘Ultima Thule’ as the nickname for the spacecrafts next flyby target on New Year’s Day 2019 – “symbolizing this ultimate exploration by NASA” says Alan Stern, the missions team leader and chief scientist. It orbits the sun more than 4 Billion miles (6.5 billion kilometers) beyond Earth.
The primitive frozen world - officially known as 2014 MU69 – will become the farthest object ever explored up close by a manmade emissary in history when NASA’s New Horizons spaceship zooms past for a close encounter on Jan. 1, 2019 orbiting more than a billion miles beyond Pluto, the most distant planet in our Solar System.
The first ever up close examination of this distant object holds critical clues to the formation of the outer solar system eons ago.
“With substantial public input, the team has chosen “Ultima Thule” (pronounced ultima thoo-lee”) for the Kuiper Belt object the New Horizons spacecraft will explore on Jan. 1, 2019,” NASA announced.
‘Ultima Thule’ is located in the Kuiper Belt and represents a pristine building block of the solar system.  It was ‘ultimately’ selected as the team after being imaged by NASA’s Hubble Space Telescope for scrutiny by the science team.
Its exact nature is not known precisely because it is so distant and tiny.
It could be a single body, a binary pair, or perhaps a system of multiple objects with multiple moons.
“Thule was a mythical, far-northern island in medieval literature and cartography. Ultima Thule means "beyond Thule"– beyond the borders of the known world—symbolizing the exploration of the distant Kuiper Belt and Kuiper Belt objects that New Horizons is performing, something never before done.”
The mission team wanted a more inspiring name for the Kuiper Belt target besides 2014 MU69 and held a naming contest.
“MU69 is humanity's next Ultima Thule,” said Alan Stern, New Horizons principal investigator from Southwest Research Institute in Boulder, Colorado, in a statement.
“Our spacecraft is heading beyond the limits of the known worlds, to what will be this mission’s next achievement. Since this will be the farthest exploration of any object in space in history, I like to call our flyby target Ultima, for short, symbolizing this ultimate exploration by NASA and our team.”
A formal name will be chosen by NASA and the New Horizons team and submitted to the infamous International Astronomical Union (IAU) after the flyby is completed.
The shape and composition of ‘Ultima Thule’ is unknown. It could be peanut shaped or binary. Its size is estimated at no more than 20 miles (30 kilometers) long, or, if a binary, each about 9-12 miles (15-20 kilometers) in diameter.  
This image of Ultima Thule, or 2014 MU69, was captured by the Hubble Space Telescope in 2014. Credit: NASA/JHUAPL/SWRI
“We really won’t know what MU69 looks like until we fly past it, or even gain a full understanding of it until after the encounter,” said New Horizons science team member Marc Buie, of the Southwest Research Institute, Boulder, Colorado, at the American Geophysical Union Fall 2017 Meeting in New Orleans. “But even from afar, the more we examine it, the more interesting and amazing this little world becomes.” 

“Our flyby of MU69 on New Year’s Eve and New Year’s Day 2019 will be an exciting sequel to the historic exploration New Horizons performed at Pluto in 2015,” added Alan Stern, New Horizons principal investigator from Southwest Research Institute (SwRI) in Boulder, Colorado. “Nothing even like MU69 has ever been explored before.” 

Watch for Ken’s on site reporting about the New Horizons flyby direct from the Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory (JHU APL) in Laurel, MD.
Watch for Ken’s continuing onsite coverage of NASA, SpaceX, ULA, Boeing, Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman and more space and mission reports direct from the Kennedy Space Center, Cape Canaveral Air Force Station, Florida and Wallops Flight Facility, Virginia.


Stay tuned here for Ken's continuing Earth and Planetary science and human spaceflight news: www.kenkremer.com –www.spaceupclose.com – twitter @ken_kremer – email: ken at kenkremer.com


Dr. Kremer is a research scientist, journalist and photographer based in the KSC area.


………….

Ken’s photos are for sale and he is available for lectures and outreach events


See below the detailed New Horizons Flyby Events schedule: 


Date Time Event
28
Friday
December, 2018
1:00-1:30 pm EST
New Horizons: Beyond Pluto. Preview of the spacecraft and science operations during the Ultima Thule flyby.
31
Monday
December, 2018
2:00-3:00 pm EST
Press briefing: Ultima Thule flyby science and operations preview
3:00-4:00 pm EST
Q&A: Ask the New Horizons Team
8:00-11:00 pm EST
Panel discussion on exploration of small worlds (8-9 pm); Ultima Thule flyby countdown events; mission updates
1
Tuesday
January, 2019
12:15-12:45 am EST
Live coverage of countdown to closest approach (12:33 am); real-time flyby simulations
9:45 – 10:15 am EST
Live coverage of New Horizons signal-acquisition from Ultima Thule flyby
11:30 am– 12:30 pm EST
Press briefing: Spacecraft status, latest images and data download schedule
2
Wednesday
January, 2019
2:00-3:00 pm EST
Press briefing: Science results from Ultima Thule
3
Thursday
January, 2019
2:00-3:00 pm EST
Press briefing: Science results from Ultima Thule